Polygon Ecosystem Token Predicted to Drop by Dec 15, 2025

By: crypto insight|2025/12/12 00:00:06
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Key Takeaways

  • The Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) has experienced significant declines recently, dropping 31.96% in the past month.
  • Market sentiment for POL is predominantly bearish, with a predicted price decrease of 23.19% over the next five days.
  • POL has been enduring a downward trend, seeing a price reduction of 78.19% over the last year.
  • Despite short-term bearish signals, the long-term analysis suggests that price movements could still surprise investors due to market volatility.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-11 15:49:06

Overview of Polygon Ecosystem Token Dynamics

The cryptocurrency landscape is perpetually fluctuating, and the Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) is no exception in this volatile market. The token, recently battling a series of downtrends, saw its price tumble by 31.96% within the last month alone. Despite a vigorous start last year with POL trading at $0.566517 around this time, it has currently plummeted to a value of $0.123560, marking a drastic year-over-year decrease of 78.19%.

Notably, this downward spiral can largely be attributed to prevailing bearish market conditions, reflected by the low Fear & Greed index reading of 26, indicating broad investor apprehension. These sentiments are crucial determinants in the market as they often trigger, or sometimes react to, price movements aligned with broader market trends and economic outlooks.

Short-term Market Forecast

Technical Indicators and Analysis

Contemplating the short and medium-term technical forecasts, the bearish sentiment comprises a crucial theme. Today, an array of indicators point towards a continued downtrend. POL’s pricing is predicted to contract by an additional 23.19% over the next five days, potentially bottoming out at $0.095450 by December 15th. This forecast rests on several pivotal support and resistance levels, namely key supports at $0.122151, $0.117530, and $0.113540, with decisive resistance awaiting at $0.130763, $0.134753, and $0.139375.

Analyzing POL’s performance against notable market benchmarks, the token lost -3.18% against the US Dollar, showcased a -2.04% dip against Bitcoin (BTC), and decreased by -4.89% against Ethereum (ETH) in recent evaluations. These trends underscore a broad-based underperformance against major cryptocurrencies within the same timeframe, compounded by the overall market contraction of 0.82%.

Technical Indicators in Focus

Among the key technical indicators analyzed, the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are standing above POL’s current price, urging a short-term bearish trend yet indicating prospects for an eventual recovery. The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14) signals a neutral stance at the level of 39.52, implying that while the asset isn’t distinctly oversold, it also lacks robust purchase momentum. Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index (14) at 57.76 proposes potential for significant price movements, yet mostly aligned with the ongoing bearish trajectory.

Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior

The Fear & Greed Index and Its Implications

The Fear & Greed index plays an integral role in understanding prevailing market sentiments. With its current value resting at 26, labeled in the “Fear” category, it conveys a clear picture of the psychological undertones influencing investor decisions within the crypto sphere. This frame of mind often results in subdued buying activities, reinforcing bearish spells while also posing potential reversal opportunities for those willing to buy into the fear, aiming for future gains when conditions stabilize.

Bearish Sentiment Prevails

A prevailing theme underpins the narrative—85% of indicators are skewed towards a bearish forecast for POL, composed of numerous sell signals portraying investor pessimism. Although brief bullish indicators exist— notably four amidst the spectrum—the overarching analysis depicts restrained investor confidence compounded by global economic factors impacting cryptocurrency valuations.

Volatility Challenges and Market Stability

The cryptocurrency realm, exemplified by POL, is no stranger to volatility. Price swings pose significant challenges, with POL recently experiencing monthly volatility of 12.13%. The frequency and magnitude of these movements test investor resilience and strategies. Twelve green days recorded in the past month stand testament to transient bullish spells, yet they remain ensnared by the broader downtrend.

Historical Context and Future Considerations

Historical Peaks and Current Lows

Taking a step back, it’s critical to appraise POL’s historical benchmarks. In March 2024, the asset reached an all-time high of $1.28, with the current cycle showcasing substantial oscillations, the pinnacle being $0.133173 juxtaposed with a cycle low of $0.117127. Although these past highs bring nostalgia and hopes of eventual rebounds, they also underscore the real challenges POL faces in reclaiming former glory amidst present market realities.

Prospective Long-term Outlook

Investors are earnestly charting POL’s potential future trajectories, with much focus on its long-term viability. While short-term projections maintain a bearish slant, the unpredictable nature of crypto markets—susceptible to regulatory changes, technological advances, and investor sentiment—leaves room for scenario-based fluctuations. Moreover, for investors prepared to weather the storm, eventual recovery potential could bear fruit, contingent on how effectively broader market elements and intrinsic value propositions align.

The Role of Strategic Platforms in the Crypto Ecosystem

Within this turbulent environment, platforms such as WEEX offer critical market insights, trading tools, and strategic guidance pivotal to crafting informed investment pathways. Though speculative elements persist, reinforced by thorough research and analysis, platforms like WEEX enable traders to devise tactical approaches tailored to the fluid nature of crypto markets.

Conclusion

In summary, the Polygon Ecosystem Token’s journey underscores profound market dynamics afoot within the cryptocurrency sphere. With a sharp price decline over recent months stirring apprehension, combined with bearish sentiment, POL faces substantial hurdles ahead. Strategic navigation through volatile tides, leveraging both historical data and present indicators, all while adapting to evolving market contexts, forms the backbone for potential recovery or strategic repositioning.

This analysis captures POL’s current pulse amidst a complex and reactive investor landscape, marked by inherent volatility and unpredictability. For individuals and investors embarked on this crypto voyage, staying informed and engaged through platforms ensuring up-to-date insights remains vital, as does agility in responding to ever-shifting market waves.

FAQs

What is the current market sentiment for the Polygon Ecosystem Token?

The market sentiment for the Polygon Ecosystem Token is currently bearish, as indicated by the predominant number of negative signals from technical indicators and the Fear & Greed index reading of 26, reflecting prevailing investor fears and cautious stances.

How has the Polygon Ecosystem Token performed in recent months?

The Polygon Ecosystem Token has experienced a marked decline, displaying a loss of approximately 31.96% over the past month and a dramatic 78.19% reduction compared to the price levels a year ago.

What technical indicators are used to predict POL’s future pricing?

A variety of technical indicators are employed, including Moving Averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average Directional Index (ADX), and various oscillators, all contributing to a comprehensive analysis of POL’s current and anticipated market positions.

Why is the Fear & Greed index significant in cryptocurrency trading?

The Fear & Greed index is a critical measure of market sentiment among investors. A “Fear” designation signals trepidation and risk aversion, often suppressing buying momentum, whereas “Greed” suggests optimism and potentially overvaluation risks. Its readings significantly influence market behaviors and investment decisions.

Could POL prices recover in the longer term?

While short-term signals indicate bearish prospects, longer-term recoveries cannot be ruled out, given the inherent volatility of cryptocurrency markets. Market conditions, technological advancements, and shifting investor sentiment could favor eventual rebounds, although continuously navigating cautious and informed strategies is recommended.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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